Domestic Politics
League: At the League’s federal council, Matteo Salvini reaffirmed his support for General Vannacci, describing him as a “valuable addition,” but clarified that groups formed in his support should not become independent political entities. Salvini announced a proposed immigration law and pledged to allocate bank contributions to healthcare, families, and security. The League leader also expressed hope for party growth, aiming to strengthen its presence in southern regions and consolidate its position as the second-largest force in the centre-right.
Ranucci Case: The demonstration in solidarity with Sigfrido Ranucci following the attack outside his home turned into a political debate on press freedom. Surprisingly, members of Fratelli d’Italia also attended, emphasizing the government’s commitment to defending free information. The centre-left and the Five Star Movement called for concrete actions, such as dropping charges against journalists and implementing the EU directive against frivolous lawsuits. Ranucci thanked those who showed solidarity, reiterating that intimidation will not halt his editorial team’s work.
Foreign Policy
Middle East Conflict: US Vice President James David Vance, during a visit to Tel Aviv, expressed cautious optimism about the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, while acknowledging the challenges in its implementation. Washington views the next thirty days as crucial to consolidating the agreement and fears that Prime Minister Netanyahu may undermine it. Meanwhile, Qatar and the Vatican have criticised Israel’s conduct, denouncing ceasefire violations and violence in the West Bank. The international community continues to work towards disarming Hamas, delivering aid, and repatriating the bodies of hostages.
Ukraine Conflict: The planned Budapest summit between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin has been cancelled following a new meeting between US Secretary of State Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, which Washington deemed made a direct meeting unnecessary. Deep divisions remain between the US and Russia: Moscow rejects Washington’s immediate ceasefire proposal and demands full control of the Donbass as a prerequisite for negotiations. Meanwhile, Europe is developing a 12-point peace plan that includes the return of deported Ukrainian children, prisoner exchanges, and funds for reconstruction.
France: Nicolas Sarkozy entered the Paris prison of Santé to serve a five-year sentence for corruption linked to Libyan funds from the 2007 campaign, becoming the first European former head of state to be incarcerated. The former president maintains his innocence and awaits the appeal trial, while debate grows in France over the legitimacy of immediately enforcing non-final sentences.
Economy and Finance
Budget Plan: Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti urged caution until the final text of the budget is available, hinting at possible adjustments before its Senate review. Divisions remain within the majority, particularly over increasing the flat tax on short-term rentals and the contribution expected from banks and insurance companies. Forza Italia is calling for changes to rental taxation, while the League proposes greater involvement from credit institutions. The issue of ministry cuts and resources for security and defence also remains on the agenda. The government aims to confirm the 8 billion euros in savings projected over three years, seeking a balance between differing positions.
Declining Birth Rate: Istat confirms the worsening demographic winter in Italy, with further decline in births in 2025 following 369,944 in 2024 (-2.6%). The fertility rate has dropped to a historic low of 1.18 children per woman, with an average age of first childbirth approaching 32. The decline affects the entire country, more pronounced in the South, and impacts both first-born and subsequent children. Experts warn that job insecurity, housing difficulties, and delayed parenthood threaten the social and economic sustainability of the nation.